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Predicting drops

This is a discussion on Predicting drops within the Training Room forums, part of the Tactics Headquarters category; for those of you who think this very first post is worthless look throught the thread other people have posted ...

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Old 03-24-2008, 09:39 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Predicting drops

for those of you who think this very first post is worthless look throught the thread other people have posted some good information.

The answer to me at the moment is look throught the most recent 5-10 pages in the last drop thread and look for " tempory patterns "



Just a random thought, i was amazed at how some people can just predict drops so i decided to make a list of all the drops in order so people can just go here and look at the patterns of drops and guess the next one. at the moment this is onyl 20 pages of the drop thread and il try and get 20 pages every day and some help would be nice. anyway discus about the drop patterns now.

and this is the last drop thread pages 1-20 i may add some more later

I'll start it off with the beast rider today, at 4:50pm pacific. 8)
Cleric 9:49 CST
Mud at 7:10pm pacific 8)
berrier ward about 12:00 last night
last night aroud 6:30 central it was a wich :crazy:
Barrier roughly 10 minutes ago....I won't mention time because you can look at when I posted
5:59 am (GMT-5) Eastern Time B) Pyromancer
About 6:28 AM Eastern Time (GMT -5) Witch
7:30 eastern Beast Rider
DMW at 9:20am pacific 8)
4;49 PM (GMT-5) Pyro :crazy:
cleric at 8:20pm pacific 8)
Dark Magic Witch right now!!
pyro right now (check post time)* :crazy
Cleric at 11:00 pm eastern.
pyromancher rightnow!!
Mud Golem Right now
Chant at 10:00am pacific 8)
enchantress 12:30 am eastern
DMW at about 4:00 pm eastern
cleric at 2:05 am eastern
enchantress at 7:20 am eastern.
dark magic witch right now XD
enchantress at 1:15 pm eastern
bward at 8:50pm pacific 8)
Pyro- 7:00 central
Mud Golem
pyro about 7:20
Cleric at 11:20am pacific 8)
chanty at 7:45 pm est
muddy at 6:40 pm central time
11:20 AM EST Barrier Ward.
Cleric around 4:45 PM EST.
Pyro at 1:00 PM EST
cleric 6:30 Easter time
Chant at 4:40pm pacific 8)
And a cleric at 8:05 8)
Frost Golem about 2:45 eastern
Pyromancer at 8:11 eastern
12:55 Witch
Furgon at 4:48 pm eastern.
Beast Rider, 7:51 P.M. eastern time zone.
Pyro at 4:00pm pacific 8)
frost at 4:41 est
witch at 4:47 est
cleric at 9 pm est
assassin around 2am
witch at 6 44 est
mud at 9 46 est
barrier at 2 09 est
5.40 est time witch
Furgon at 11:57 pm eastern.
cleric at 8:25
Assassin 2:25 eastern
8:40 eastrn, Mud Golem
witch drop
cleric
witch
pyro
Mud golem at 9:27 pm eastern
3:22 assassin
pyro 8:39
Frost golem at 1:48 pm eastern.
witch at 5 45 est pm
pyro 3:59
cleric about a hour ago
muddy
Barrier ward 10 minn ago
Pyromancer at 4:22 pm eastern.
Witch 9:25 eastern
Furgy 5:38 est.
mud 12:41 pacific
Mud Golem 3:41
pyro 10:30 (befor emuddy)
Chant @ 8:40
assassin 11:51pm pacific
DMW at 10:20am pacific 8)
Muddy
Assassin
pyro
barrier ward 1:44
mud 6:00
Mud
Witch 12:30am est
05:48 AM EST Furgon
chanty 10:45am est
dmw at 11:00am pacific 8)
DMW, about 2:05 EA
05:30Am Est -Mud Golem
Pyromancer at 1:30 PM eastern.
DMW at 10:05pm pacific 8)
Mud Golem 06:35am Est
DMW 02:58 PM est
Mud golem 9:45 PM eastern.
DMW 05:35 AM est!
Mud at 8:25am pacific, lol*
Well here's one BW too-03:07 PM est
Cleric at 3:28 AM eastern.
mud golem!!
cleric 5:09pm pacific
Frost Golem!!
Mud golem at 6:25 AM Eastern.
Assassin at about 2:00 pm central
dmw 4:13 pacific
just now witch
pyro drop
Bward at 8:30am pacific 8)
Furgon,
04:50 Am Est Cleric!
Mud Golem 11:26 Eastern Time
Assassin 3:53 est
Witch
cleric
enchantress about 10:30 pm central
DMW about 2:30 AM central
08:27 AM Est Furgy
a Barrier at 12:40 Est.
6:40 PM EST Mud Golem
was told there was a chanty around 10:45 central
11:45 EST, Enchantress *
3:54 am EST pyro
cleric 10:35 pm central
DMW 10:20 am central
mud golem 1:51 pm central
frost golem 8:10 pm central
Frosty @ 9:12
Pyromancer at about 7:10 am eastern.
dmw at 6:27pm pacific 8)
DMW 20 mins to 7pm at eastern time
pyro 10:57 am central
barrier ward 7:30 pm central
DMW 1:15 am central
07:21 AM Est Pyromancher
mud
assassin 8:20 pm central
barrier 2:27 am central
Mud golem 5:15 eastern pm
cleric 10:57 pm central
barrier 2:50 am central
2 pm ET. Muddy
witch 1230 am eastern
asassain 3:36 PM. E.T
7:54 PM ESt mud golem
cleric 12:20 am central
Chanty, around 1130 1145 eastern am
Pyro 2:22 cst
DMW 9:15 pm central
Witch, 10:16
08:20 AM Est-Beast Rider
Cleric
11:17AM Est-Cleric
pyro 3:11 pacific
Muddy, 9:19 pm eastern
DMW 2:20 am central
pyro 7:27 est
assassin 1:25 pm eastern
cleric 853 pm eastern
Beast Rider 1258 am eastern
DMW 11:15 am central
pyromancer 4:15 pm central
848 eastern pm FURGON
pyromancer 1:40 am central
witch about 12:15 pm central
it was a mudy 5:33 eastern (gmt -5:000)
chant at 7:00pm pacific 8)

ok i added flash's list to the front page Please people try and help me out a bit. ( at least put a post )
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MAJOR NEWS

ok now please people try and help me ok? now take a close look at furgon drops theres usualy a barroir ward drop or a chanty drop after or before it. and i think once we find some connections between drops i should put them in bold if people still look at this thread.
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Last edited by Flash Demon; 04-01-2008 at 12:27 AM. Reason: Because it will help
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Old 03-24-2008, 09:41 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Old 03-24-2008, 09:42 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Hm..isn't there already a thread like this?
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Old 03-24-2008, 09:46 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by [ DraQuist ] View Post
Hm..isn't there already a thread like this?
i have no idea if there is can yo give me a link?

sorry if there is i guess i wasted my time
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Old 03-24-2008, 09:54 PM   #5 (permalink)
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i have no idea if there is can yo give me a link?

sorry if there is i guess i wasted my time
The Last Drop

Umm...this thread?


People can predict when the next drop will be. But you can never predict WHAT it will be...
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Old 03-24-2008, 10:27 PM   #6 (permalink)
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what a waste of a thread and your trime angel
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Old 03-24-2008, 10:43 PM   #7 (permalink)
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lol predicting drop???...... maybe




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Old 03-24-2008, 11:07 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by Afg WarrioR View Post
The Last Drop

Umm...this thread?


People can predict when the next drop will be. But you can never predict WHAT it will be...
*In theory* wouldn't it be possible, if you logged all the drops and their near exact time and what they where into a basic mathmatical program, couldn't you find the pattern that the seed server is using? If they have one at all that is.

Everything has a pattern.
Even PI probably does billions upon billions of digits down.

Just wondering.
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Old 03-24-2008, 11:22 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Guys just go easy on the poor guy... He's just trying to make something helpful for others to follow. Give it a chance, who knows, maybe we will see a patern emerging...
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Old 03-24-2008, 11:26 PM   #10 (permalink)
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There IS a pattern, if there wasn't, you would see 2 forsts in a row at least once, or a beastie, but there isn't any drop in A ROW.

This is quite a weird scene :

DMW at 10:05pm pacific 8)
Mud Golem 06:35am Est
DMW 02:58 PM est
Mud golem 9:45 PM eastern.
DMW 05:35 AM est!
Mud at 8:25am pacific, lol*


If you could find another one of these, we might have found our selves a pattern
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